
The Speculation Gap
What sells isn’t always what plays—and what plays isn’t always what holds value. In a hobby engineered around hype and “the chase”, the market often prices narratives over performance. Like clockwork, every single season, a young, hyped starting QB is tagged with a speculation premium—regardless of the box score—or before they even step onto an NFL field. Modern-day break culture amplifies it: drip-fed supply, endless highlights reels, and hope outpacing the hard data. Meanwhile, veteran










